Economic Primitive
Block  — MKV Issued  — Regime  — Confidence  — ZK BN128 BTC Anchored
Protocol Primitive

Three work functions.
One atomic protocol.

The Markovian Protocol is an atomic protocol. One output: a regime state derived from a hidden Markov matrix, resolved by Viterbi execution, committed with a Schnorr sigma proof, Merkle-rooted, and anchored to Bitcoin. Three work functions compose on that output. STAMP. TRIGGER. SETTLE. The atomic output does not change.

Whitepaper Block Explorer Builder Quickstart
Atomic Protocol

One output. Three work functions.
The output does not change.

The protocol produces one atomic output per block. That output is ZK-proven, Merkle-rooted, and Bitcoin-anchored. It cannot be faked, amended, or disputed. Three work functions compose on it: STAMP commits data to the output. TRIGGER evaluates conditions against it. SETTLE resolves bilateral positions from it.

Atomic Output — Markovian Protocol
matrixM ∈ ℜ³×³  Markov transition matrix, calibrated to block history
pathViterbi(M, observations)  most probable state sequence
proofSchnorr σ(BN128)  zero-knowledge validity proof
rootSHA-256 Merkle  commitment to the full observation set
anchorBitcoin OP_RETURN  immutable on-chain timestamp
STAMP
TRIGGER
SETTLE
Protocol specification
# STAMP stamp(data_output, zk_proof, merkle_root, btc_anchor) # TRIGGER register(condition="regime == DISTRIBUTION for 3 blocks") fires(when=chain_state matches condition) # SETTLE create(question, target_block) resolves(at=target_block, outcome=chain_state)
Backtest

Atomic output. 26-year verification.

The primitive's value rests on one question: does the regime output carry predictive information? 26 years of daily data across four asset classes. Null hypothesis rejected in every series. No leverage. No lookahead.

QQQ · 26yr
+1,303%
vs +696% buy & hold
USO · 20yr
+473%
vs −76% buy & hold
Sharpe · QQQ
0.915
vs 0.432 passive
Max Drawdown
−17.5%
vs −83% buy & hold
Confidence threshold ≥0.60. Backtest spans 1999–2025. Full methodology, permutation tests, and asset-class breakdown: whitepaper §5 →
Interfaces

Three work functions. One atomic protocol.

STAMP, TRIGGER, and SETTLE are the three work functions of the Markovian Protocol. Each operates on the same atomic output. alphasynth.net implements STAMP. sigmasynth.net implements TRIGGER. quantsynth.net implements SETTLE.

STAMP
alphasynth.net

Commit.

Any data output, ZK-committed to the regime state, Merkle-rooted, Bitcoin-anchored. The record is unforgeable and publicly verifiable. No custodian.

stamp.markovianprotocol.com →
TRIGGER
sigmasynth.net

Evaluate.

A condition registered against a future ZK-proven regime state. When the chain state matches, the action fires. The proof is the executor.

trigger.markovianprotocol.com →
SETTLE
quantsynth.net

Resolve.

Two positions, one target block, one chain state. Resolution is deterministic at target block. No oracle. No reporter. No dispute window.

settle.markovianprotocol.com →