Economic Primitive
Block  — Supply  — Regime  — Confidence  — ZK BN128 BTC Anchored
Protocol Primitive

Two functions.
One atomic protocol.

One ZK-proven output per block. Merkle-rooted. Bitcoin-anchored. Lock something to the chain, or test something against it.

COMMIT

Lock something
to the chain.

For
  • Research publishers who need a timestamped, unforgeable record
  • Signal producers proving a call was made before the outcome
  • Institutions anchoring data to an auditable on-chain reference
  • Anyone who needs: I said this. Here is the proof.
Go to COMMIT →
RESOLVE

Settle on regime state.
Not price.

For
  • Prediction market protocols integrating oracle-free settlement
  • DeFi contracts that trigger on mathematical regime state, not a price feed
  • Builders who need: the chain computed this. Here is the ZK proof.
  • Any protocol betting on the change of states, not the price.
Go to RESOLVE →
Backtest

Lower drawdowns, verified and reproducible.

The model's measurable edge is risk, not return. Held passively, QQQ draws down 83% over 26 years; the regime signal cuts that to 11%, while capturing more than half the return in 41% of the days. Oil held passively for 20 years loses 80%, and the signal turns it positive. The backtest is deterministic: the same data produces the same numbers on every run.

QQQ · max drawdown
−11.3%
vs −83% buy & hold
USO · 20yr
+17%
vs −80% buy & hold
QQQ · Sharpe
0.82
vs 0.45 passive
BTC · max drawdown
−63%
vs −83% buy & hold
Long MARKUP regime, confidence ≥0.60. No leverage, no shorts, no lookahead. Seeded and deterministic. QQQ from 2000, USO from 2006, BTC from 2014. whitepaper §5 →
The Atomic Markovian Protocol

One atomic output. Everything else is the chain reaction.

The protocol produces one atomic output per block. ZK-proven, Merkle-rooted, Bitcoin-anchored. Two functions compose on it. COMMIT locks any data output to the chain record, unforgeable and publicly verifiable. RESOLVE registers a falsifiable claim against a future block.

Atomic Output, Markovian Protocol
matrixM ∈ ℜ³×³  Markov transition matrix, calibrated to block history
pathViterbi(M, observations)  most probable state sequence
proofSchnorr σ(BN128)  zero-knowledge validity proof
rootSHA-256 Merkle  commitment to the full observation set
anchorBitcoin OP_RETURN  immutable on-chain timestamp
COMMIT RESOLVE
Protocol specification
# COMMIT stamp(data_output, zk_proof, merkle_root, btc_anchor) # → returns merkle_root, zk_valid, btc_anchor. Permanent. Unforgeable. # RESOLVE register(wallet, ticker="QQQ", condition="DISTRIBUTION", target_block=N) # → returns MATCH or MISS at target_block. ZK-proven. No oracle.
Two Functions

COMMIT and RESOLVE.
The application layers.

Two functions compose on one atomic output. COMMIT locks data to the chain record, unforgeable and publicly verifiable. RESOLVE registers a condition against a future block and returns a verdict derived from chain math. No oracle. No trusted party.

COMMIT

Lock something to the chain.

Any data output, ZK-committed to the regime state, Merkle-rooted, Bitcoin-anchored. The record is unforgeable and publicly verifiable. No custodian. Permanent.

commit.markovianprotocol.com →
RESOLVE

Settle on regime state, not price.

Register a regime condition against a future block. The chain computes the ZK-proven regime and returns MATCH or MISS. No price feed. No oracle. Settlement from math.

resolve.markovianprotocol.com →
Start Building
Whitepaper → Developer Quickstart → COMMIT API → RESOLVE API →