Bitkovian
BTC $— Denominated sats Settled non-custodial Referee chain math Settles on RESOLVE ZK-verified Preview · DLC settlement launching
Bitcoin markets, settled by Bitcoin

Bet on Bitcoin in Bitcoin.
No trusted feed. No custodian.

Bitkovian runs markets on Bitcoin's own regime, collateralized in BTC and settled from the protocol's chain math, ZK-verified per block. There is no price feed to bribe and no custodian to trust. The Bitcoin never leaves your keys. The chain is the referee.

Browse markets How it works
01 / Custody

Your keys, start to finish

Collateral is locked in a Discreet Log Contract on Bitcoin L1. No bridge, no wrapped token, no deposit address. The protocol never touches the coins. It only signs the outcome.

02 / Settlement

Resolved by chain math

Every block produces a deterministic, reproducible classification of Bitcoin's regime. That output is the settlement attestation. The same data resolves the same way on every run, so there is nothing to manipulate.

03 / Proof

Verifiable, not promised

Each attestation carries a ZK proof anchored to Bitcoin. Anyone can check that the settlement followed the rules. Trust is replaced with verification.

Bitcoin-collateralized positions on Bitcoin

Each market settles in BTC from a committed future block. Figures are illustrative pending mainnet DLC settlement.

Regimesettles · block 134,400
BTC regime is DISTRIBUTION at the settlement block.
Yes 70%No 30%
Collateral 2,400,000 satsTake a side
Signalsettles · block 135,100
BTC anti-bubble (LPPL) signal persists through settlement.
Yes 44%No 56%
Collateral 1,600,000 satsTake a side
Eventsettles · block 133,900
BTC classified CAPITULATION for 3 consecutive blocks.
Yes 19%No 81%
Collateral 2,750,000 satsTake a side
Transitionsettles · block 134,750
BTC regime flips to ACCUMULATION before settlement.
Yes 38%No 62%
Collateral 950,000 satsTake a side

Four steps. The coins never move off Bitcoin.

01

Lock BTC

Both sides fund a Discreet Log Contract on Bitcoin L1. The collateral sits in a 2-of-2 that only the committed outcome can spend.

02

Take a side

Pick Yes or No on a falsifiable claim about Bitcoin's regime, tied to a future block. Price is set by the other side, in BTC.

03

The chain resolves

At the settlement block, the protocol emits a ZK-verified attestation of Bitcoin's regime. No reporter votes. No feed is queried.

04

BTC settles

The attestation unlocks the contract to the winning side, on Bitcoin, to a wallet you held the keys to the entire time.

Bitcoin's missing oracle, finally non-corruptible

Non-custodialBTC on L1, your keys
Deterministicsame data, same result
ZK-verifiedproof per attestation
Anchoredcommitted to Bitcoin

Every DLC needs an oracle to attest the outcome, and that oracle has always been the weak point: a trusted party that could be bribed or could lie. Bitkovian is the oracle, with the trust removed. The attestation is reproducible by construction, derived from chain math rather than a feed, so there is nothing to corrupt. Verify any settlement at markovianprotocol.com/verify.